- Title of the article: The Desirability of Domestic Debt Restructuring
- Source: Verité Research
- Date published: 13/09/2025
- Link to the original article: https://www.veriteresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/VR_EN_BN_Oct2022_Desirability-of-Domestic-Debt-Restructuring.pdf?
Restructuring of the domestic debt
This is a very
important process that Sri Lanka must go through to ensure that its economy is
stable and healthy again. Sri Lanka is steering through one of the worst
economy crises of its history with an alarming rate of debt-to-GDP ratio of
approximately 121%. The foreign and domestic debt of government has led the
country to the verge of financial collapses. Though there has been much
emphasis on international debt restructuring, the much ignored but equally
important restructuring of domestic debt is central to restoring macroeconomic
stability, fiscal sustainability, and fair growth.
What is Domestic Debt Restructuring (DDR)?
The restructuring of domestic debt is a renegotiation of the
terms of government debt owed to local creditors, such as the extension of
maturity dates, or the repricing of interest rates or rescheduling of payments.
This is in contrast with external debt restructuring which involves foreign
creditors.
The domestic debt which is mainly in Sri Lankan rupees is
currently approximately 59 percent of the overall public debt in Sri Lanka. The
problem is in high interest rates (usually over 20 percent), the increase in
debt stock through refinancing at high yield and the effect this has had on
local financial institutions which are much exposed to government securities.
The Reason why Sri Lanka needs DDR?
- Improving Debt Sustainability:
Studies indicate that
restructuring of the external debt will not suffice, unless there is domestic
debt restructuring, the debt to GDP ratio could increase to 139 percent within
the next ten years. The extension of maturity of domestic Treasury Bonds at no
reduction in the coupon can work the ratio to approximately 103, which is a
much better and more manageable number.
- Macroeconomic Stability and Inflation:
The high interest rates on debt rollover stimulates the
inflation and money growth. DDR would assist in lowering the cost of government
borrowing, decreasing inflation rates, which are currently standing at more
than 60 per cent and stabilizing the rupee.
- Strengthening Financial Institutions:
Sri Lankan banks and pension funds are heavily dependent on
coupon income on domestic government bonds and therefore coupon reductions are
not desirable because they provide a risk to the stability of the financial
sector. The DDR strategies prefer to roll over maturities with regulatory cover
to soften this shift.
- Prevention of Future Debt Crises:
It is common to see countries go through various debt restructurings unless fiscal discipline and credible policy frameworks are put in place. DDR can establish fiscal buffers to Sri Lanka to better absorb external shocks and minimize the probability of recurrence of crisis.
- Justice in the allocation of the crisis expenses:
DDR provides a more specific and equitable solution to the reduction of the debt burden of the government than either increasing taxes or inflation which impact more on the middle and lower-income group.
Recent Developments and Government Measures
The Sri Lankan government has also been keen on negotiation
with local creditors to agree on new repayment conditions and also attempting
to restructure its external debts. Multilateral organizations such as the
International Monetary Fund (IMF) also stress on DDR and reforms as a key to
the sustainable recovery.
Based on the current research and findings:
- The government suggests the extension of the maturity of domestic Treasury Bonds to 10 years (reprofiling) without a decrease in coupons or the principal.
- The financial states of the banking sector and other financial institutions will need recapitalization assistance in the process.
- The success of the restructuring will rely on transparency and fair participation of the creditors.
- DDR will be needed in order to ensure that IMF standards are met and investor confidence is restored.
Global Context and Lessons:
Sri Lanka is not the only country that has been pursuing its
domestic debt restructuring. To different extents, maturity extensions, coupon
cuts, and face value haircuts have been utilized by countries like Greece,
Barbados, Jamaica and Cyprus.
Effective
restructurings make it a rule not to include short-term treasury bills as this
will cause market disruption.
Deep face value depreciation increases net present value
(NPV) losses but could be required based on the state of the economy.
Challenges and Risks:
- DDR may request domestic creditors to suffer losses, and this will ultimately affect the country on its own.
- The DDR plan proposed by the government is expected to cut down debt servicing payments by approximately 1.5 percent of the GDP, whereas the IMF estimates higher cuts (approximately 15 percent) to make the fiscal sustainable.
- Maintaining the inflation regulation plus monetary growth to finance debt repayments is a complicated issue and demands both the fiscal and monetary policies.
Conclusion
A Path Forward Sri
Lanka has a twin deficit issue, i.e. a fiscal deficit and, a current account
deficit, which have been heavily financed by domestic debt. Devoid of
restructuring this domestic debt and external restructuring, there is the risk
of the country sliding into years of financial turmoil, inflation, and
recurring debt crises. Restructuring of domestic debt through maturity
extension and favorable financial sector interventions provides an effective
route through which the economy can be brought to its senses and confidence is
rebuilt and recovery is enhanced in an equitable manner. This process must be
transparent, involve creditors and be accompanied by structural reforms to
guarantee long-term sustainability. This is a hard road to go through, and with
extensive DDR and profound reforms, Sri Lanka will be able to recover a strong
economy that will be able to grow and flourish.
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